NewsLocal NewsYour Voice Your Vote


Survey: Californians polled slightly favor keeping Newsom in recall election

ca recall 2021 ballot_3.jpeg
Posted at 1:13 PM, Aug 31, 2021
and last updated 2021-08-31 16:24:33-04

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — With two weeks left until California's gubernatorial recall election, a new ABC 10News/Survey USA poll indicates that Gov. Gavin Newsom's fate may rest with older voters.

Overall, the poll of more than 800 registered and likely voters indicated that 51% intend to keep Newsom in office, while 43% say they intend to support the recall. Another 6% were undecided. The results are a change from two weeks ago when a Survey USA poll found that participants favored the recall 51% to 40%.

This time around, the survey found that voters ages 18 to 34 are likely to vote against Newsom 51% to 38%, while voters 35 and older were more likely to support the governor.

FS_POLL 26076 RECALL_03.jpg

Among the most popular candidates to replace Newsom is Republican Larry Elder, who held the largest support among 515 voters choosing a replacement with 27%, followed by Rancho San Diego businessman John Cox and Democrat Kevin Paffrath with 6% each, and multiple candidates at 5% including former San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulconer, state Assemblyman Kevin Kiley, and Democrats Jacqueline McGowan, Holly Baade, and Brandon Ross.

Still, 26% said they were either undecided or indicated they are voting for another candidate.

FS_POLL 26076 RECALL_05.jpg

Among the 1,046 registered voters surveyed, voter turnout would seem to be high. The majority of voters said they are voting (39%), already returned their ballot (25%), or are likely to vote (14%).

FS_POLL 26076 RECALL_02.jpg

Of 348 voters who are likely to vote to recall Newsom, the majority (26%) pointed to his handling of COVID-19 restrictions as the reasoning, followed by spending decisions (16%), mishandling of unemployment money (12%), attending a party during lockdown (12%), and business closures (11%).

FS_POLL 26076 RECALL_06.jpg

Other results:

FS_POLL 26076 RECALL_01.jpg
FS_POLL 26076 RECALL_04.jpg